The commands in French industry, including export, fell sharply in September after several months of growth, even if they were up all over the third quarter, INSEE said on Friday. The industrial new orders (excluding transport equipment but including automotive) were down 3.1% from the previous month after rising 0.8% in August.

Those from abroad also recede, 2.7%, says the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies in a statement. The decrease is very strong in the automotive (-6.9%), pharmaceuticals (-8.3%), chemicals (-2.7%), paper and cardboard (-6.2%) and textile (-3.2%). Electrical equipment, electronic and computer were down 1.6%.

The CSF must publish a list of 29 banks that need to raise capital and be subject to more stringent rules because of the risk they pose to the entire financial system because of their size and complexity.

The turnover of the world's number one industry, owner of Louis Vuitton leather goods, Hennessy cognac and Christian Dior perfumes, rose 17.6% in the third quarter to 6.01 billion euros, higher than the consensus of analysts polled by Reuters (5.8 billion).

Organic growth for its part maintained at 15%, as in the first half, while analysts expected a slowdown to 12.5% ​​and the comparison base last year was already high (14%) .

"The numbers are good, they show that the industry does not undergo the expected slowdown," said one analyst who requested anonymity.

After last week Burberry, LVMH confirms the strength of the luxury sector the slowdown in mature economies, driven by tourism flows in Europe and an application that does not weaken in the high-end department stores in the United States.

At the Paris Stock Exchange, after opening slightly down, the title LVMH sells 1.8% to 111.40 euros by 10:05, in a market down 1.7%.

Having been overtaken by fears of recession and slowdown in the Chinese engine, the values ​​of luxury have suffered a significant stock market correction in late September, before regaining lost ground, with the general recovery of the markets.

To date, the limit value share of 7.8% since the beginning of the year, compared with a decrease of 15% for its rival Swiss Richemont, but increases of 12.3% for Burberry or 16 % for Tiffany.

DECELERATION IN WINES AND SPIRITS

On the sidelines of Paris Fashion Week ready-to-wear at the beginning of the month, industry leaders have also said they see no signs of slowing demand in the third quarter.

Still, many analysts expect a slowdown in the global luxury goods market in 2012 and have already revised down their forecasts for growth for luxury groups for next year.

"Sales growth continues to be strong in Asia, Europe and the United States, while Japan sees a return to growth," said LVMH in a statement.

With these figures, the group's "confidence" for the full year 2011, without elaborating on its expectations for sales season, a crucial period for the sector.

He also indicated it will pursue a policy of targeted geographic expansion "in the most promising markets."

The fashion and leather goods division saw its organic growth accelerated slightly to 15% over nine months after 14% in the first half, driven by Louis Vuitton nugget.The latter mark, the main profit center of the group, could have exceeded 15% growth estimated by some analysts (LVMH never disclose the figures of Louis Vuitton).

The market is waiting for clarification during a conference call scheduled for 3:00 p.m. on any price increases that could be spent by the end of the year in the leather.

In contrast, sales of wines and spirits have had their organic growth decelerated to 11% over nine months and investors await guidance on inventory levels of distributors.

Sales of selective distribution (DFS, Sephora) have accelerated the pace with organic growth of 19%, while rate was slightly compacted in perfumes and cosmetics at 10%. Recent statements by Clarins to leave Reuters anticipate difficult year 2012 in Europe.

In watches and jewelry, which now include Italian Bulgari, growth remains very strong, like the Swiss watch exports to 26%.

The numbers of PPR, which owns Gucci, are expected on October 26 and those of Hermes (which LVMH owns 21.4%) on November 4.

Europe is the threshold of a decisive week that will culminate with a summit of its leaders on October 23, where they plan to give a blow to a debt crisis that has lasted almost two years and threatens their common currency but also the global economy.Following a meeting Saturday in Paris with his G20 counterparts, the French Minister of Finance Baroin promised the rest of the world, worried about a financial tsunami, the Europeans would make October 23 an answer "decisive "to the debt crisis, both" comprehensive and lasting. "

Since the beginning of the turmoil in late 2009 in Greece, the fire has continued to spread in the euro area. Often divided on how to proceed, European leaders have most often plug the holes that never make a convincing answer. After multiple missed appointments – the decisions taken at a previous summit on July 21 are still not in place – this time they intend to operate a turning point.

The idea is to present a set of steps to the top of the top twenty rich and emerging countries (G20) on 3 and 4 November in Cannes.Objectives: stopgap stabilizing Greece will receive a loan vital to 8 billion euros, strengthening the firewall finance in the euro area to prevent Spain and Italy will follow suit – which would doom the euro – bail out weak banks and improve governance of the monetary union.

The Europeans plan contains "appropriate elements" and "encouraging things," Saturday welcomed the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, who with President Barack Obama has stepped up pressure in recent weeks. Why Europe must decide on several issues.Prior to the summit of 23 October, preparatory meetings of finance ministers are scheduled Friday and Saturday as the task is immense.

What discount on Greek debt?

Among the key issues: the percentage of Greek debt that creditors will have to give up the degree of recapitalization of banks to absorb the shock or the arrangements to enhance the firepower of the Relief Fund of the euro (EFSF) via a "leverage". In detail, the figure of 21% "haircut" for holders of Greek debt, decided July 21, is now obsolete and considered the percentage may reach up to 50% now, according to a European government. Problem: you have to reach a negotiated solution with the banks at present are praying.To address the risk of default Greek, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, also announced he would propose a recapitalization of banks so that their own funds "hard" reach 9%.

And the leader of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker even considered to force the banks that do not play the game to contribute more to the debt relief of Athens. It will also expand the capacity of intervention of the EFSF, beyond what was already decided in July and approved this week by Slovakia, the last country the green light was still pending. The option to leverage its efforts by making it grants not loans, but guarantees to holders of debt seems fragile hold the rope, according to European sources.An alternative, favored by France, which would be transformed into the EFSF bank to borrow from the European Central Bank, seems ruled out because it violates the EU treaty.

The euro crisis has also reinforced the urgency of a paradoxically greater integration of driving the euro area. The subject will also be discussed at the summit. Under the anxious eyes of the European Commission which fears being marginalized, Paris and Berlin want to give more backbone in the Monetary Union with peaks at least twice a year of its leaders under the leadership of Herman Van Rompuy, which chairs have those of any European Union.It is also about strengthening fiscal discipline, creating a position of "super-commissioner" European dedicated to this task, or to place trust countries formal budgetary difficulty or to allow the European Court of Justice to punish States too lax.

Brussels wants farmers to "go green". The European Commission proposed on Wednesday to condition part of the aid to respect for the environment, and to the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) fairer by capping subsidies, despite the reluctance of the industry. "A redefinition of the CAP is necessary," the MEPs tried before the Commissioner of Agriculture, the Romanian Ciolos, presenting the details of its proposals to reform the system of EU agricultural subsidies from 2014.

He has proposed to link some of the aid paid to some 12 million European operations "to a few simple agricultural practices whose effects are well established" crop diversification, maintenance of permanent pasture, and conservation of biodiversity reservoirs or landscape elements of at least 7% of arable land. The reform also aims to shift to a "sustainable production practices," while Europe has "for years" led the farmers "on the way to a stress-free productivity," noted Ciolos.

Another key measure for the capping of aid. These become progressively reduced from 150,000 euros per year per firm and will not exceed 300,000 euros.Germany, or the UK – where farms reap the crown of England every year hundreds of thousands of dollars – are opposed to the cap, brandishing the risk of fragmentation of their large holdings. These are always more numerous in Europe in seven years, the number of farms decreased by 20% for a reduction of only 2% of the agricultural area, is the statistical office Eurostat.

France is the first bénéficière envelopes States

Criticized by the European Court of Auditors to have paid aids golf clubs or airports, the CAP will also be reserved for the future to "active farmers".Calling for a change of "paradigm", Ciolos also called for a more equitable CAP with the introduction of a single payment per hectare for each State and each region, which should balance out subsidies to benefit of extensive agriculture.

However, it is still far from a fair rebalancing envelopes allocated to each state. France continues to be the first beneficiary and lose relatively little, while the countries of Eastern Europe continue to receive bonuses per hectare well below the European average. In Brussels, a Baltic hundred farmers have agreed to meet Wednesday to protest against this compromise deemed disadvantageous to farmers Baltic. "Politics, more at European level is the art of the possible equilibria," agreed Ciolos."The most important is to stimulate a movement in the right direction," he said, promising to continue this trend toward more balance beyond 2020.

The proposals of the Commissioner Ciolos will now be subject to approval by MEPs and the 27 Member States, and negotiations promise to be difficult. For the main organization of farmers in Europe, Copa-Cogeca, the principle of ecological fallows is "illogical, while global food demand is expected to increase 70% by 2050." Greening is also criticized by the German Green Häusling Martin, for whom he does not go far enough, or the French Socialist Stéphane Le Foll, who lampooned the "weaknesses" of agri-environmental measures proposed, such as fallow "too rigid" .

Former director of cabinet of Nicolas Sarkozy during his visit to the Department of Budget from 1993 to 1995, Pierre Mariani, however, has worked hard over the last three years by taking the uniform fire to extinguish the fire and Dexia lead a restructuring forced march.

"Mariani is a very fast," said a banker close to Dexia in Paris on condition of anonymity.

"Professionally he is a fairly effective and very familiar with his subjects," recalls a former associate who declined to be named. "Humanly by cons is not always obvious. It is hard enough with his team."

Yet some wonder now if not just too late to restructure Dexia staying too long in a position of crisis management, even if not necessarily liable for the current situation.

"Mr. Mariani is a fireman," said Michel de Herde and for the Budget of Schaerbeek, Brussels and a joint shareholder of Dexia."He fought hard but failed to escape the flames."

Others accuse him an authoritarian style that led to the departure of several senior bank officials, such as Stefaan Decraene, the Chairman of the Management Board of Dexia Bank Belgium, last month.

AFTER NEGOTIATIONS WITH BRUSSELS

In 2010, after months of tough negotiations with the European Commission, there is no exception, with his right arm Alexandre Joly, the weight loss abroad imposed by Brussels in return for aid received during the financial crisis .But the two men managed to save some furniture.

If Dexia undertakes to sell certain subsidiaries of the bank abroad, including Spain, Italy and Slovakia, however, the bank saves its Turkish subsidiary Denizbank considered the "nugget" of the bank.

Pierre Mariani will recognize later that the party was far from over.

Fort recovery accounts in 2009, the Group CEO opposes any subsequent split of the Franco-Belgian bank even if it is given in the wings behind rumors of merger with other banks, late as 2008 with the Postal Bank with which Dexia has an agreement for funding.

However, the debt crisis in the euro area continues to worsen.The Management Board of Dexia has no choice but to accelerate disposals last spring in its portfolio of toxic assets.

Eventually the bank will sign the second quarter of 2011 the heaviest loss in its history with a net loss of four billion euros.

But nothing works.With the crisis and tensions in the interbank market, Dexia sees its liquidity situation deteriorate, leading the bank in a bind.

RUMORS OF DEPARTURE

Pierre Mariani, who had set out to reduce the size of Dexia's balance sheet, however, had tried last year to convince markets of the ability of the bank to remain independent and living independently at the cost of a radical refocusing its activities in retail banking based on the Belgian and Turkish.

But analysts also had several occasions to question his real commitment to stay in control of Dexia.

In 2010, the press and echoed rumors that he could have replaced Claude Gueant as Secretary General of the Elysee.

The rumor also gave it as a possible successor as CEO Baudouin Prot, BNP Paribas in place of any dolphin named Jean-Laurent Bonnafé.

Born in 1957 in Rabat, Morocco, the man knows the house where he led retail banking abroad before moving Dexia.

A graduate of HEC, technocrat and inspector of finance, he joined the bank in the rue d'Antin in 1996 after starting his career in senior management.

He then played a leading role in the acquisition of the Italian BNL, the first major foreign network acquired by BNP Paribas in 2006.

But then he had to give way to Jean-Laurent Bonnafé, then head of the network in France which, after assuring the successful integration of BNL, has been promoted to chief operating officer of the group.

Note of Italy fell from AA-to A + and that of Spain AA + to AA-.The prospect of the two countries is negative, suggesting that further downgrades are possible.

Italy and Spain are directly affected by the crisis in the euro area in that they depend on the European Central Bank (ECB) to place their bonds and avoiding the yields demanded reach unmanageable proportions.

"A comprehensive and credible solution to the crisis in the euro area is politically and technically difficult and will take time to implement," said Fitch.

Italy has recently been downgraded by Moody's and Standard & Poor's.Market sentiment towards the country was affected by the hesitant reaction of the government, initially, to higher yields.

The euro fell to the announcement of downgrades, as Wall Street.Analysts say, however, that the decision on Italy was entirely predictable.

"The reasons for Fitch are not so different from the other two agencies, I do not think the markets will react a lot," said Alessandro Tentori (BNP Paribas).

Paolo Pizzoli, an analyst at ING, sees the decision of Fitch additional pressure on the Italian government to adopt structural reforms that could boost growth, reforms that are missing in the recent austerity plan intended to balance the budget in 2013.

The Berlusconi government intends to introduce such initiatives in the month but the ruling coalition is so weakened and divided as few analysts see it join forces to give carte blanche.

In Spain, the government reduced the deficit with a series of austerity measures, but most of the country's debt is regional and autonomous regions are still practicing their own cuts.

"We respect that decision but we disagree," said a spokesman for the Spanish Ministry of Economy.

The Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini was much drier, arguing that "markets have little to do with Fitch, Moody's and company."

Fitch also announced Friday it was maintaining Portugal under review with negative implications, it intends to resolve status in the fourth quarter.Portugal is rated BBB-by the agency.

Regarding the latter, the European Commission said it will send a team of experts to assist the authorities to redirect funds from the EU to the economic reforms agreed with the troika (EU, International Monetary Fund, Central Bank European).

Zoellick warned in an interview with Reuters that a new crisis is looming, while the budgets of many developing countries have still not fully recovered from the financial turmoil in late 2008.

He said the budgetary situation of more than half of developing countries deteriorated by about 2 percentage points of GDP since 2007, and over 40% of developing countries now have deficits exceeding 4% of GDP.

"If the situation continues to deteriorate, growth in developing countries may bend, the value of their assets could decline, and then their non-performing loans could rise," said Robert Zoellick.

"With these pressures and opportunities, we should expect to protectionist pressures (…), and a downside risk to the population," he added.

He said to continue to think that the economies of industrialized countries could avoid a double dip, but concerns are growing up in the event that these countries would not attack the problems head on.

"A crisis born in the developed countries could be exported to developing countries," he continues."Europe, Japan and the United States must act to address their major economic problems before they become larger problems for the rest of the world".

"Failure to do so would be irresponsible," he summarizes.

The major French banks have seen their market value melted in recent weeks, partly because of the fear of the effects of the continuing crisis of debt in the euro area.

"Our banks are strong," said Valerie Pécresse, who is also Minister of the Budget, on LCI."There is no problem or solvency or liquidity of French banks."

It found that the volatility of financial markets in this regard was "part of the irrational."

Baroin told France Info radio that "the banks did not need to be recapitalized – so no debate superfluous – and have no difficulty with access to liquidity," central bankers said on Friday that G7 in Marseille they will provide the necessary liquidity if necessary.

"We must be confident," said Baroin.

"What is happening in the markets cause them to speed up what is called (rules) Basel Committee, which is an appointment of additional obligations to have equity in relation to their balance sheets that are higher. They have announced they do. "

The exposure of French banks to Greece is 8 billion euros, while profits in the first half were $ 11 billion, said Minister of Finance.

Christian Noyer, Governor of the Banque de France and member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank, said this week that French banks were able to "go through a severe crisis."He said that other banks had more than 200 billion of collateral deposited with the Banque de France and not used.

Senior officials, however, urge the European financial ministers of the continent to strengthen bank capital, preventing a "systemic crisis" sovereign debt affects banks and raises the specter of a new credit crisis.

In documents prepared by those responsible for the Ecofin meeting of September 16 and 17, that Reuters was able to consult, it is referred to a "risk of a vicious circle between sovereign debt, the financing banks and the negative growth ", which can cause a credit freeze.

"We do not take over me again!" Arnaud Lagardère has responded to the video on Monday where he and his new bride, model Jade Foret, indulge in a languid photo shoot, which is the buzz on the Internet since July. "I can summarize it in one word: ridiculous! Had I imagined it was made for broadcast as well, I never would have accepted," says the head of the Lagardère Group. In a long interview with Les Echos, he answers those who accuse him of not very involved in his business.

"A boss atypical, so what?"

"I live with my band and since my childhood.It's always been my passion. I have personally invested in this company everything I have. Me to be the trial of a person who is too invested in his company who do not spend enough time, which ultimately consider it an asset like any other, this is like the video: ridiculous! "And he to go to affirm the importance of a private life successful." Maybe I'm an atypical pattern, so what? Being happy in his private life is certainly a source of balance for an entrepreneur. "

And as to support his statements and prove his good faith, Arnaud Lagardere and hold back the strategy of his group. In spite of disappointing interim results, he emphatically denied the rumor that the group would sell one of its four branches.He also says do not intend to separate from other assets, after selling its international Hearst magazines.

"Time of markets is not that of the company"

The cash from the sale should be reinvested in the four branches. And it could be used to "reward loyal shareholders," a share buyback or dividend exceptional. Knowing that the action of the group posted a loss of nearly 38% since the beginning of the year. "Our results were disappointing, I can understand that. But the time for financial markets is not the time of the company. To reconcile them, I know of only one strategy: long-term take its course."

Arnaud Lagardère is also planning to acquire "magazines in France." And an update on the group's strategy on the Internet."In our group there was a historical culture of the paper so ingrained that it was difficult to immediately turn the digital. This is clearly a disappointment. Nevertheless, we have a major advantage that our brands are positioned on high the most buoyant segments. This has enabled us to become the third largest Internet group in France. "

To a withdrawal of EADS

It evokes, finally, the future of its partnership with EADS. Lagardère should withdraw from the defense contractor and aerospace program as soon as the Airbus A350 to its subsidiary will be operational. Meanwhile, it reaffirms its commitment to take, as expected, the Chairman of the Board of Directors of EADS in 2012, which should be attributed to a French."When I say I am a candidate is of course because I want to, but because it has been decided and written in 2007 that I will be the nominee," says he.

And he concluded: "In ten years we will own 100% of our assets and will not be clear neither in aeronautics or in the press distribution abroad."